Receipts
Every number I say on camera has a date on it. This is where the dates live. One post per video: what I said, the number, the day it was true, and the government document it came from. When I’m wrong, it’s written down here too. Go check.
- Receipts: The Adults’ Table. Last Week, the Weekend, and the Week in Front of You, With Every Number and a Date Next to Each. (Sunday, November 1, 2026)
Receipts: The Adults’ Table. Last Week, the Weekend, and the Week in Front of You, With Every Number and a Date Next to Each. (Sunday, November 1, 2026) The paperwork behind Sunday night’s video, on YouTube and TikTok. Recorded Sunday… Read more: Receipts: The Adults’ Table. Last Week, the Weekend, and the Week in Front of You, With Every Number and a Date Next to Each. (Sunday, November 1, 2026) - Receipts: The Fed Chairman Refused to Answer. The Market Answered for Him. The Hold, the 10-2 Vote, the 10-Year Through 5, and Every Number With a Date Next to It. (Wednesday, October 28, 2026)Receipts: The Fed Chairman Refused to Answer. The Market Answered for Him. The Hold, the 10-2 Vote, the 10-Year Through 5, and Every Number With a Date Next to It. (Wednesday, October 28, 2026) The paperwork behind Wednesday night’s video,… Read more: Receipts: The Fed Chairman Refused to Answer. The Market Answered for Him. The Hold, the 10-2 Vote, the 10-Year Through 5, and Every Number With a Date Next to It. (Wednesday, October 28, 2026)
- Receipts: The One O’Clock Appointment. The Treasury Sale, Who Lends, and the Four Numbers With a Date Next to Each. (Tuesday, October 20, 2026)Receipts: The One O’Clock Appointment. The Treasury Sale, Who Lends, and the Four Numbers With a Date Next to Each. (Tuesday, October 20, 2026) The paperwork behind Tuesday night’s video, on YouTube and TikTok. Recorded Tuesday night, October 20, the… Read more: Receipts: The One O’Clock Appointment. The Treasury Sale, Who Lends, and the Four Numbers With a Date Next to Each. (Tuesday, October 20, 2026)
- Receipts: Two Counts and the Settle. Oil’s Two Scorekeepers, One Grader, and the Number Next to Each Line. (Wednesday, October 14, 2026)Receipts: Two Counts and the Settle. Oil’s Two Scorekeepers, One Grader, and the Number Next to Each Line. (Wednesday, October 14, 2026) The paperwork behind Wednesday night’s video, on YouTube and TikTok. Recorded Wednesday night, October 14, after the industry… Read more: Receipts: Two Counts and the Settle. Oil’s Two Scorekeepers, One Grader, and the Number Next to Each Line. (Wednesday, October 14, 2026)
- Receipts: Good News, Red Finish. Six Report Cards, the Tell That Fired, and the Number Next to Each Line. (Tuesday, October 13, 2026)Receipts: Good News, Red Finish. Six Report Cards, the Call That Landed, and the Number Next to Each One. (Tuesday, October 13, 2026) The paperwork behind Tuesday night’s video, on YouTube and TikTok. Recorded Tuesday evening, October 13, after the… Read more: Receipts: Good News, Red Finish. Six Report Cards, the Tell That Fired, and the Number Next to Each Line. (Tuesday, October 13, 2026)
- Receipts: The List Gets Graded. Sunday’s Lines, Monday’s Tape, and the Number Next to Each One. (Monday, October 12, 2026)Receipts: The List Gets Graded. Sunday’s Lines, Monday’s Tape, and the Number Next to Each One. (Monday, October 12, 2026) The paperwork behind Monday night’s video, on YouTube and TikTok. Recorded Monday evening, October 12, about 7:30 PM Eastern, after… Read more: Receipts: The List Gets Graded. Sunday’s Lines, Monday’s Tape, and the Number Next to Each One. (Monday, October 12, 2026)
- Receipts: The Banker’s List. Friday, the Weekend, and the One Number on Every Chart Before Monday. (Sunday, October 11, 2026)Receipts: The Banker’s List. Friday, the Weekend, and the One Number on Every Chart Before Monday. (Sunday, October 11, 2026) The paperwork behind Sunday night’s video, on YouTube and TikTok. Recorded Sunday evening, October 11, about 8:45 PM Eastern, after… Read more: Receipts: The Banker’s List. Friday, the Weekend, and the One Number on Every Chart Before Monday. (Sunday, October 11, 2026)
- Receipts: The Banker Sits Down. Oil’s 5% Morning, the Post That Took 3 Dollars Off, Why 94.64 Held, and Friday’s List. (Thursday, October 8, 2026)Receipts: The Banker Sits Down. Oil’s 5% Morning, the Post That Took 3 Dollars Off, Why the Line Held, and Friday’s List. (Thursday, October 8, 2026) The paperwork behind Thursday night’s video, on YouTube and TikTok. Recorded Thursday evening, October… Read more: Receipts: The Banker Sits Down. Oil’s 5% Morning, the Post That Took 3 Dollars Off, Why 94.64 Held, and Friday’s List. (Thursday, October 8, 2026)
- Receipts: Highest Since 2002, Until the Buyers Showed Up. The 10-Year Sale, the Climb Before It, the Fed’s Notes, and the Two Oil Barrels. (Wednesday, October 7, 2026)Receipts: Highest Since 2002, Until the Buyers Showed Up. The 10-Year Sale, the Climb Before It, the Fed’s Notes, and the Two Oil Barrels. (Wednesday, October 7, 2026) The paperwork behind Wednesday night’s video, on YouTube and TikTok. Recorded Wednesday… Read more: Receipts: Highest Since 2002, Until the Buyers Showed Up. The 10-Year Sale, the Climb Before It, the Fed’s Notes, and the Two Oil Barrels. (Wednesday, October 7, 2026)
- Receipts: Parked Where They Could See You. The Stop-Loss Sentence in the Banks’ Own Rulebook, the 4 PM London Fix, and the Published Robot Lines. (Tuesday, October 6, 2026)Receipts: Parked Where They Could See You. The Stop-Loss Sentence in the Banks’ Own Rulebook, the 4 PM London Fix, and the Published Robot Lines. (Tuesday, October 6, 2026) The paperwork behind Tuesday night’s video, on YouTube and TikTok. Recorded… Read more: Receipts: Parked Where They Could See You. The Stop-Loss Sentence in the Banks’ Own Rulebook, the 4 PM London Fix, and the Published Robot Lines. (Tuesday, October 6, 2026)
- Receipts: 74 Isn’t a Price. It’s a Show of Hands. How the Services Price Number Is Made, the Ten-Year’s Poke Over 5.34, and Tuesday’s 58 Billion Dollar Sale. (Monday, October 5, 2026)Receipts: 74 Isn’t a Price. It’s a Show of Hands. How the Services Price Number Is Made, the Ten-Year’s Poke Over 5.34, and Tuesday’s 58 Billion Dollar Sale. (Monday, October 5, 2026) The paperwork behind Monday night’s video, on YouTube… Read more: Receipts: 74 Isn’t a Price. It’s a Show of Hands. How the Services Price Number Is Made, the Ten-Year’s Poke Over 5.34, and Tuesday’s 58 Billion Dollar Sale. (Monday, October 5, 2026)
- Receipts: Bad News. Your Mortgage Went Up Anyway. A 29,000 Jobs Number, a 5.28 Ten-Year, and How to Read the Fed’s Minutes. (Sunday, October 4, 2026)Receipts: Bad News. Your Mortgage Went Up Anyway. A 29,000 Jobs Number, a 5.28 Ten-Year, and How to Read the Fed’s Minutes. (Sunday, October 4, 2026) The paperwork behind Sunday night’s week-ahead video, on YouTube and TikTok. Recorded Sunday evening,… Read more: Receipts: Bad News. Your Mortgage Went Up Anyway. A 29,000 Jobs Number, a 5.28 Ten-Year, and How to Read the Fed’s Minutes. (Sunday, October 4, 2026)
- Receipts: It Went Through. The Dollar Broke 101.8, the Ten-Year Came Back to 5.24, and How Friday’s Jobs Number Is Made. (Thursday, October 1, 2026)Receipts: It Went Through. The Dollar Broke 101.8, the Ten-Year Came Back to 5.24, and How Friday’s Jobs Number Is Made. (Thursday, October 1, 2026) The paperwork behind Thursday night’s video, on YouTube and TikTok. Recorded Thursday evening, October 1,… Read more: Receipts: It Went Through. The Dollar Broke 101.8, the Ten-Year Came Back to 5.24, and How Friday’s Jobs Number Is Made. (Thursday, October 1, 2026)
- Receipts: One Buyer Went Home. Oil Fell 3.5%, the Dollar Went Up Anyway, the Ten-Year at 5.26, and the Line That Never Got Touched. (Tuesday, September 29, 2026)Receipts: One Buyer Went Home. Oil Fell 3.5%, the Dollar Went Up Anyway, the Ten-Year at 5.26, and the Line That Never Got Touched. (Tuesday, September 29, 2026) The paperwork behind Tuesday night’s video, on YouTube and TikTok. Recorded Tuesday… Read more: Receipts: One Buyer Went Home. Oil Fell 3.5%, the Dollar Went Up Anyway, the Ten-Year at 5.26, and the Line That Never Got Touched. (Tuesday, September 29, 2026)
- Receipts: They Cleaned Up for the Picture. Inflation Under the Guess, the Ten-Year at 5.29, Every Index at Its Low, and the Line on Every Chart for Thursday. (Wednesday, September 30, 2026)Receipts: They Cleaned Up for the Picture. Inflation Under the Guess, the Ten-Year at 5.29, Every Index at Its Low, and the Line on Every Chart for Thursday. (Wednesday, September 30, 2026) The paperwork behind Wednesday night’s video, on YouTube… Read more: Receipts: They Cleaned Up for the Picture. Inflation Under the Guess, the Ten-Year at 5.29, Every Index at Its Low, and the Line on Every Chart for Thursday. (Wednesday, September 30, 2026)
- Receipts: Who Bought the Dollar. Oil Paid in Dollars, the Refineries, the Ten-Year at 5.24, and the Line on the Dollar Index. (Monday, September 28, 2026)Receipts: Who Bought the Dollar. Oil Paid in Dollars, the Refineries, the Ten-Year at 5.24, and the Line on the Dollar Index. (Monday, September 28, 2026) The paperwork behind Monday night’s video, on YouTube and TikTok. Recorded Monday evening, September… Read more: Receipts: Who Bought the Dollar. Oil Paid in Dollars, the Refineries, the Ten-Year at 5.24, and the Line on the Dollar Index. (Monday, September 28, 2026)
- Receipts: Rejected on a Saturday. Friday Graded, the Weekend, the First Headcount Since the Hike, and the Week Ahead. (Sunday, September 27, 2026)Receipts: Rejected on a Saturday. Friday Graded, the Weekend, the First Headcount Since the Hike, and the Week Ahead. (Sunday, September 27, 2026) The paperwork behind Sunday’s week-ahead video, on YouTube and TikTok. Recorded early Sunday, September 27, before the… Read more: Receipts: Rejected on a Saturday. Friday Graded, the Weekend, the First Headcount Since the Hike, and the Week Ahead. (Sunday, September 27, 2026)
- Receipts: Three for Three. The Seven-Year Tails, the Ten-Year Closes at 5.18, and the Mortgage Survey Crosses 7. (Thursday, September 24, 2026)Receipts: Three for Three. The Seven-Year Tails, the Ten-Year Closes at 5.18, and the Mortgage Survey Crosses 7. (Thursday, September 24, 2026) The paperwork behind Thursday night’s video, on YouTube and TikTok. Recorded after the close on Thursday, September 24.… Read more: Receipts: Three for Three. The Seven-Year Tails, the Ten-Year Closes at 5.18, and the Mortgage Survey Crosses 7. (Thursday, September 24, 2026)
- Receipts: The Rent Went Up. The Ten-Year Closed at 5.11, the Highest Since 2007. (Wednesday, September 23, 2026)Receipts: The Rent Went Up. The Ten-Year Closed at 5.11, the Highest Since 2007. (Wednesday, September 23, 2026) The paperwork behind Wednesday night’s video, on YouTube and TikTok. Recorded after the close on Wednesday, September 23. Every number below has… Read more: Receipts: The Rent Went Up. The Ten-Year Closed at 5.11, the Highest Since 2007. (Wednesday, September 23, 2026)
- Receipts: Real Is Boring. All Three Breaks Passed the Next-Day Test. The Banks Didn’t. (Tuesday, September 22, 2026)Receipts: Real Is Boring. All Three Breaks Passed the Next-Day Test. The Banks Didn’t. (Tuesday, September 22, 2026) The paperwork behind Tuesday night’s video, on YouTube and TikTok. Recorded after the close on Tuesday, September 22. Every number below has… Read more: Receipts: Real Is Boring. All Three Breaks Passed the Next-Day Test. The Banks Didn’t. (Tuesday, September 22, 2026)
- Receipts: Three Lines Broke on Day One. Why the Big Money Waits One More Close. (Monday, September 21, 2026)Receipts: Three Lines Broke on Day One. Why the Big Money Waits One More Close. (Monday, September 21, 2026) The paperwork behind Monday night’s video, on YouTube and TikTok. Recorded after the close on Monday, September 21. Every number below… Read more: Receipts: Three Lines Broke on Day One. Why the Big Money Waits One More Close. (Monday, September 21, 2026)
- Receipts: The Fed Is Done. This Week the Lenders Set the Price. (Week Ahead, September 21, 2026)Receipts: The Fed Is Done. This Week the Lenders Set the Price. (Week Ahead, September 21, 2026) The paperwork behind the week-ahead video, on YouTube and TikTok. Recorded Sunday night, September 20. Every number below has the day it was… Read more: Receipts: The Fed Is Done. This Week the Lenders Set the Price. (Week Ahead, September 21, 2026)
- Receipts: It’s a Different Language. It’s Like Ten Words. (The Dictionary, September 20, 2026)Receipts: It’s a Different Language. It’s Like Ten Words. (The Dictionary, September 20, 2026) The dictionary behind the ten-words video, on YouTube. That video used no market numbers on purpose, so there is nothing in it that a closing price… Read more: Receipts: It’s a Different Language. It’s Like Ten Words. (The Dictionary, September 20, 2026)
- Receipts: What Money Costs, Piece One — Money Costs Something (September 19, 2026)Receipts: What Money Costs, Piece One — Money Costs Something (September 19, 2026) The paperwork behind piece one of What Money Costs, on YouTube and TikTok. That video used no numbers from this week’s market on purpose. What it did… Read more: Receipts: What Money Costs, Piece One — Money Costs Something (September 19, 2026)
- Receipts: Fed Week, Done — The Fed, the Treasury, the CFTC, the Chart Cycles, and Five Lines for Monday (September 18, 2026)Receipts: Fed Week, Done — The Fed, the Treasury, the CFTC, the Chart Cycles, and Five Lines for Monday (September 18, 2026) The paperwork behind the Friday wrap on TikTok (watch the video), recorded after the close on September 18.… Read more: Receipts: Fed Week, Done — The Fed, the Treasury, the CFTC, the Chart Cycles, and Five Lines for Monday (September 18, 2026)
- Receipts: Japan Raised, the Yen Fell — Two Roommates, the Franc-Yen Chart, and the Level (September 18, 2026)Receipts: Japan Raised, the Yen Fell — Two Roommates, the Franc-Yen Chart, and the Level (September 18, 2026) The paperwork behind the Bank of Japan video on TikTok (watch the video), recorded overnight on September 18 within the hour of… Read more: Receipts: Japan Raised, the Yen Fell — Two Roommates, the Franc-Yen Chart, and the Level (September 18, 2026)
- Receipts: The Morning After the Hike — Six for Six, the 10-Year Above 5%, and “It’s Not Going to Matter” (September 17, 2026)Receipts: The Morning After the Hike — Six for Six, the 10-Year Above 5%, and “It’s Not Going to Matter” (September 17, 2026) The paperwork behind the morning-after video on TikTok, recorded and posted Thursday morning, September 17, before the… Read more: Receipts: The Morning After the Hike — Six for Six, the 10-Year Above 5%, and “It’s Not Going to Matter” (September 17, 2026)
- Receipts: The Day After the Hike — Why Markets Bounce, and the Three Dials (September 17, 2026)Receipts: The Day After the Hike — Why Markets Bounce, and the Three Dials (September 17, 2026) The paperwork behind the after-the-close video on TikTok (watch the video), recorded the evening of September 17. The video answered a 2 PM… Read more: Receipts: The Day After the Hike — Why Markets Bounce, and the Three Dials (September 17, 2026)
- Receipts: Economics Class, Lesson One — “Priced In” at What? (September 17, 2026)Economics Class, Lesson One: the history behind priced in, verified. Bachelier 1900, Hamilton 1922, the 1956 Times, Samuelson 1965, and where the guess lives.
- Receipts: Fed Day Morning — The Auction, the Coffee Cup, and the Board at 2:30 (September 16, 2026)Wednesday morning, September 16: the auction, the coffee cup, and the board at 2:30. Retail sales, import prices, and the oil-stockpile correction.
How to read one of these
Each receipt has three parts. What I said, so you can hold me to it. The numbers with dates and sources, so you can check them without me. And how it graded, once the market answered. The sources are the same five public websites every time: the Federal Reserve, the CFTC, the U.S. Treasury, the Census Bureau, and the EIA. No guy.
The daily version of this
I’m Nathan Banks. I’ve been trading since 2001 and teaching the institutional framework, the Institutional Expansion Cycle™, since 2012. The videos are the weekly version of what I read every morning. The morning version, dated the same way, is the Daily Market Research. The free trade desk is at tradewithbanks.com/join. Nothing here is financial advice; trading involves risk.